Surge

NQ ● flat overnight ● live testing 24/7

A cross-asset breakout. QQQ ATM implied volatility turns out to be a strong forward forecast of how big the Nasdaq-100's next session will be — so on days IV signals an expansion (ATM-IV high vs its own trailing year), Surge trades the break of the prior day's high or low and rides it, stop on the opposite side of that range, exit on the close. Validated lookahead-free over seven years (t≈4.6, Sharpe ~1.75, out-of-sample stable). A breakout driven by options-implied vol rather than price — only lightly correlated to the rest of the book, so it diversifies. Live since June 2026 — the seven-year backtest is shown alongside the growing live track record.

QQQ implied-vol forecast
Prior-day range breakout
Opposite-side stop
Close (MOC) exit

Signals

$100/mo

Daily bias + exact execution plan via API
Live event feed (entries, scale-outs, exits)
Dashboard view + one URL for Claude/LLM use
Cancel anytime

Full source code

$9,999 one-time

Complete strategy source (Rust) incl. the model
Backtest harness + parameters
Own it, run it, modify it — no lock-in
Delivered within 24h to your account email

read this first

Paper record. You can lose more than you paid us. These curves are paper-traded on our own data — no customer account has traded them. Part of the record before each sleeve shipped is a backfilled replay, tagged bf. Past results, simulated or live, predict nothing: several strategies on this site were killed by their own out-of-sample data, and we publish those too. Futures are leveraged and nothing here is investment advice.

All five points in full

These are paper records, not client money — Every live track record on this site is paper-traded on our own market data. No customer account has traded these strategies. Costs are charged on every fill, but a paper fill and a real one are not the same thing.
The record starts 1 June 2026, and part of it is backfilled — Rows dated before a sleeve actually shipped were reconstructed by replaying our archived tick data through the same code. They carry a bf tag wherever they appear. That is a replay, not a forward test — treat it as the weaker evidence it is.
Past results predict nothing — Not the backtest, not the live paper record, not the Sharpe ratio. A strategy that worked for two months can stop working the day you buy it, and several on this site have been killed by their own out-of-sample data. We publish those too.
You can lose everything you put in — Futures are leveraged. A single NQ contract moves $20 per point, and a bad day can exceed your margin. Losses are not capped at what you paid us — they are capped by your account balance, and then by your broker calling you.
This is not advice — We publish signals. We do not know your account, your risk or your circumstances, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell. Buying a strategy does not make it suitable for you, and we are not in a position to judge whether it is.
If you switch on auto-execution, orders are placed without you — Renting signals places no orders at all. But if you separately link a broker account and activate a strategy on it, our engine polls that strategy every minute and moves your position to match — no confirmation, no second look, including while you are asleep. That is a standing instruction you give per strategy and per account, and you can withdraw it at any time from the dashboard. Until you do, it keeps trading.

Track record

Backtest

Backtest 2019-05-30 → 2026-06-16 · 7y — lookahead-free, fills on real trade prints only, 1 contract incl. commission + slippage

Returns

Net P&L+$498,376

Annualized P&L+$70,719

Profit factor1.99

Expectancy / trade+$1,130

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe1.94

Sortino3.76

Calmar3.32

Recovery factor23.37

Drawdown & risk

Max drawdown−$21,323

Worst trade−$10,359

Max consec. losses6

Trade stats

Trades441

Win rate59.2%

Avg trades / mo5.21

Payoff ratio1.37

Avg win+$3,838

Avg loss−$2,796

Live paper-trading

Live paper-trading on tickstream data since 2026-06-01

Live · since 2026-06-01

Net P&L+$12,207

Trades23

Win rate60.9%

Profit factor1.26

Expectancy / trade+$531

Max drawdown−$17,089

Date	Side	Entry	Exit	P&L	Reason
2026-08-0509:30 ET	LONG	29975	29607	−$7,375	eod
2026-07-3109:30 ET	LONG	28576.75	28092.25	−$9,715	loss
2026-07-3009:30 ET	LONG	27657.5	28228.75	+$11,411	eod
2026-07-2809:50 ET	SHORT	27980.25	27919.5	+$1,201	eod
2026-07-2409:50 ET	SHORT	28432.5	28283.75	+$2,961	eod
2026-07-2309:30 ET	SHORT	28718.25	28614.25	+$2,066	eod
2026-07-2109:30 ET	LONG	29222.5	29311.75	+$1,771	eod
2026-07-1709:30 ET	SHORT	28607.75	28765	−$3,160	eod
2026-07-1609:35 ET	SHORT	29397	29217	+$3,586	eod
2026-07-1509:30 ET	LONG	29895.75	29567.5	−$6,590	loss
2026-07-1409:30 ET	LONG	29811	29786	−$515	eod
2026-07-0909:30 ET	LONG	29746.75	29948.5	+$4,021	eod
2026-07-0809:30 ET	SHORT	29202.75	29457.25	−$5,105	eod
2026-07-0209:30 ET	SHORT	30053.75	29538.75	+$10,286	eod
2026-06-3009:30 ET	LONG	30069.5	30514.75	+$8,891	eod
2026-06-2909:00 ET	LONG	29283	29283	−$25	loss
2026-06-26	SHORT	29295.75	29283	+$241	eod
2026-06-16bf	SHORT	30260.25	29986.5	+$5,471	eod
2026-06-12bf	LONG	29544.75	29677.75	+$2,656	eod
2026-06-11bf	LONG	29250.5	29433.25	+$3,651	eod

Live results are paper-traded on real tickstream market data, one NQ contract, with each sleeve's own commission and slippage charged on every fill — between $9 and $24.50 round turn depending on how it exits. Every record runs from 1 June 2026. Rows dated before the sleeve itself shipped are a backfill and carry a bf tag wherever they surface in the trade table; everything from the launch date on was traded forward.

Rebuilt 31 July 2026. The whole record was re-derived from our own archived tick path: every session the archive covers end to end was replayed through the agent's unmodified production code — the backfilled portion included, so it is no longer backtest output but the same code run over recorded prints. That corrected fills which had been booked at the trigger level instead of at the price that actually printed; on gap opens the difference reached 470 points. Sessions the archive cannot cover end to end keep their rows as recorded, because deleting a real trade over a hole in our recorder would flatter the record. On the sessions used as the control, the replay reproduces the live rows to the cent.

The backtest is lookahead-free: weekly CFTC data is anchored on its actual publication day and fills are simulated on real trade prints only — the live agent runs the identical model. Past performance, simulated or live, does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.