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Ignition

NQ ● flat overnight ● live testing 24/7

Reads 5-min auction structure on the Nasdaq-100 future intraday: a balance/consolidation, then a breakout that HOLDS (acceptance — not a fakeout), taken in open air away from the obvious overnight and prior-day levels (those tend to absorb the move; the edge is where there's no overhead supply). Stop just past the consolidation structure, fixed risk-reward. Validated seven-year, out-of-sample stable and survives realistic costs — and it's uncorrelated to Bellwether and Slipstream (corr ~−0.05), so it's a genuinely diversifying intraday sleeve rather than more of the same. Live since June 2026 — the seven-year backtest is shown alongside the growing live track record.

  • Intraday auction/balance
  • Breakout acceptance
  • Structure stop + fixed R:R
  • Uncorrelated sleeve

Signals

$100/mo

  • Daily bias + exact execution plan via API
  • Live event feed (entries, scale-outs, exits)
  • Dashboard view + one URL for Claude/LLM use
  • Cancel anytime
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Full source code

$9,999 one-time

  • Complete strategy source (Rust) incl. the model
  • Backtest harness + parameters
  • Own it, run it, modify it — no lock-in
  • Delivered within 24h to your account email
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Track record

Backtest

Backtest 2019-03-01 → 2026-06-16 · 7.3y — lookahead-free, fills on real trade prints only, 1 contract incl. commission + slippage
Returns
Net P&L+$170,304
Annualized P&L+$23,350
Profit factor1.08
Expectancy / trade+$43
Risk-adjusted
Sharpe0.55
Sortino0.99
Calmar0.40
Recovery factor2.93
Drawdown & risk
Max drawdown−$58,029
Worst trade−$8,617
Max consec. losses12
Trade stats
Trades3923
Win rate47%
Avg trades / mo44.82
Payoff ratio1.22
Avg win+$1,242
Avg loss−$1,020

Live paper-trading

Live paper-trading on tickstream data since 2026-06-01
Live · since 2026-06-01
Net P&L−$12,725
Trades40
Win rate50%
Profit factor0.72
Expectancy / trade−$318
Max drawdown−$22,740
DateSideEntryExitP&LReason
2026-08-0614:30 ET LONG 29556.529493.5 −$1,272 loss
2026-08-0512:10 ET SHORT 2972129607 +$2,273 eod
2026-08-0312:15 ET LONG 28815.528901.5 +$1,713 eod
2026-07-3113:25 ET LONG 28453.7528402.5 −$1,032 eod
2026-07-3111:35 ET SHORT 2817528345.75 −$3,427 loss
2026-07-3011:25 ET SHORT 28050.528246.75 −$3,937 loss
2026-07-2714:05 ET LONG 28092.528192.75 +$1,998 eod
2026-07-2413:15 ET SHORT 28459.2528283.75 +$3,503 eod
2026-07-2311:05 ET SHORT 28567.7528614.25 −$937 eod
2026-07-2211:20 ET LONG 29309.7529172.5 −$2,757 loss
2026-07-2113:05 ET LONG 29348.7529311.75 −$747 eod
2026-07-2012:05 ET LONG 2906328873 −$3,812 loss
2026-07-1712:05 ET LONG 28885.7528765 −$2,422 eod
2026-07-1613:50 ET SHORT 29257.2529217 +$798 eod
2026-07-1514:55 ET SHORT 29624.529700.75 −$1,532 eod
2026-07-1412:15 ET SHORT 2973829786 −$967 eod
2026-07-1312:30 ET SHORT 2955829466.75 +$1,818 eod
2026-07-1013:40 ET LONG 30063.7530037.5 −$532 eod
2026-07-0911:35 ET LONG 29864.2529948.5 +$1,678 eod
2026-07-0811:25 ET SHORT 2906229373.25 −$6,237 loss

Live results are paper-traded on real tickstream market data, one NQ contract, with each sleeve's own commission and slippage charged on every fill — between $9 and $24.50 round turn depending on how it exits. Every record runs from 1 June 2026. Rows dated before the sleeve itself shipped are a backfill and carry a bf tag wherever they surface in the trade table; everything from the launch date on was traded forward.

Rebuilt 31 July 2026. The whole record was re-derived from our own archived tick path: every session the archive covers end to end was replayed through the agent's unmodified production code — the backfilled portion included, so it is no longer backtest output but the same code run over recorded prints. That corrected fills which had been booked at the trigger level instead of at the price that actually printed; on gap opens the difference reached 470 points. Sessions the archive cannot cover end to end keep their rows as recorded, because deleting a real trade over a hole in our recorder would flatter the record. On the sessions used as the control, the replay reproduces the live rows to the cent.

The backtest is lookahead-free: weekly CFTC data is anchored on its actual publication day and fills are simulated on real trade prints only — the live agent runs the identical model. Past performance, simulated or live, does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.